Surveys & Forecasts: Research That Drives Business

Regression Analysis

Objective

To measure in precise quantitative terms the relationship between one dependent variable and one or more independent variables.

Examples/Applications

  • Prediction
  • Analysis
  • Developing performance standards
  • Screening variables
  • Media/trade program impact
  • Matching samples

Assumptions

  • Causal, or at least meaningful, relationships
  • Linearity
  • Independent variables are independent (low collinearity)
  • Heteroscedasticity (uncorrelated error terms)
  • Relationship can be explained in terms of variance around a line estimate

Mechanics

  • Estimating equation
  • Total variance
  • Explained and unexplained variance
  • Coefficient of determination and correlation
  • beta (slope) and b (intercept)
  • Partial correlations
  • Dummy variables
  • Recursive regressions (stepwise/best fit)

Seminal Articles/Texts

  • A.R. Baagaley, Intermediate Correlational Methods, John Wiley & Sons, 1964

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